Name: GeoClimateUKCP18 ShrinkSwell 2070

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Description: GeoClimateUKCP18 provides modelled data on ground movement and subsidence due to climate change for Great Britain. The methodology combines BGS GeoSure, the UKCP18 Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 climate projections, ZOODRM groundwater recharge model and expert knowledge on the behaviour of geological formations. GeoClimateUKCP18 OPEN provides a 2km generalised vector grid which is populated with the projected effects of climate change on clay shrink-swell susceptibility. For each 11-year window, 2030 (2025-2035) and 2070 (2065-2075) a single dataset illustrating the median average projected change in susceptibility is provided. National coverage is available for Great Britain.

Copyright Text: British Geological Survey

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